Sunday, September 01, 2013

It's Time to End Affirmative Action as We Know It

"We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness."  Declaration of Independence

In the context of heated conflict about specific strategies for implementing the principle of equality for all, it is important from time to time to return to the foundational principles that form the basis for how our society should be structured. Even though our country has not always lived up to the principle of equality or upheld each person's unalienable Rights, these foundational principles are something that we can all agree on.

The current chapter in the fight to neutralize past inequalities unfolded this past June in Fisher v. University of Texas at Austin. The Supreme Court upheld the legality of universities considering race in their admissions decisions. However, the Supreme Court narrowed the scope of race-conscious admissions policies by requiring that the consideration of race be used only as a last resort to maintain a critical mass of minority students. The decision to uphold the use of race hinges on sociological evidence that student body diversity is a college dimension that leads to a host of desirable academic outcomes for all students. Therefore, the Supreme Court has deemed that is permissible to admit less qualified minority students in order to maintain a critical mass of minority students on campus.

In its idealized form, affirmative action does not advocate any specific strategy for increasing diversity. Instead, affirmative action is a generalized principle regarding the importance of taking proactive steps to eradicate the vestiges of legalized discrimination:

Affirmative action does not mean entitlements to proportional representation. It means action to eliminate discrimination: creation of more adequate talent pools, active searches for talent wherever it exists, revision of policies and practices that permitted or abetted discrimination, development of expectations for a staff whose composition does not reflect the impacts of discrimination, provision of judicial process to hear complaints, and the making of decisions without proper regards to sex, race, or other origin.” (Reed, 1993, 1-2)

In this idealized form, it is difficult to rationalize opposition to the idea that as a country we should eradicate the effects of past discrimination. Unfortunately, the implementation of affirmative action in higher education over time has devolved into and become equated with race-conscious admissions policies.

The term affirmative action was first introduced by John F. Kennedy in 1961 as an executive order mandating that all government contracting agencies hire and treat employees without regard to race, creed, color, or national origin. In 1965, Lyndon Johnson built upon JFK's executive order by requiring all government contractors to document the affirmative steps they have taken to increase representation of women and minorities in the workplace. In 1969, Nixon went a step further by requiring federal contractors in Philadelphia, and then other cities, to meet specific quotas for hiring African American employees, which became known as the Philadelphia Plan.

Universities followed the lead of the Philadelphia Plan and began setting aside specific slots in the admissions process for minority students. For example, the medical school at the University of California - Davis set aside 16 out of 100 medical school slots for minority students. A medical school applicant, named Allan Bakke, sued the university when he was denied admission (Bakke v. Regents). In 1978, the Supreme Court found that setting quotas was unconstitutional, but did not strike down the the idea that universities could consider race as a goal. The idea of race-conscious admissions policies was challenged again in the case of  Grutter v Bollinger, which was decided in 2003. The Supreme Court upheld the idea of using race as one consideration among many in the admissions process, but made clear that the consideration of race should no longer be necessary in 25 years.

There have been a variety studies investigating the relationship between race-conscious admissions policies and the resulting levels of desegregation on college campuses.

  • A recent study found that the long-term enrollment trends for black and white students have shown increasing tendency towards integration, which suggests that race-conscious admissions policies are working. However, most of the increased integration occurred during the era of specified quotas prior to Bakke v. Regents. Since the early 1970s, the trend has shown gradual increase, but has mostly been stagnant. In fact, the same study suggests that states that have banned race-conscious admissions policies at public universities have seen increased integration.
  • When examining income disparity, socioeconomic data show that the representation of upper income students has increased at selective colleges since the late 1970s, while the representation of lower income students has remained stagnant. Therefore, the most economically disadvantaged minority students are not benefiting from race-conscious admissions policies.
  • Some have argued that current forms of race-conscious admissions policies mainly benefit descendants of recent immigrants or children of biracial couples, not children whose four grandparents are descendants of slaves. It is “students like these, disadvantaged by the legacy of Jim Crow laws, segregation and decades of racism, poverty and inferior schools, who were intended as principal beneficiaries of affirmative action in university admissions.
  • In the wake of the Grutter v Bollinger decision, a group of researchers explored the likelihood that race-conscious admissions policies could be eliminated by 2028 as suggested by Justice O'Connor in the Grutter decision. Projected decreases in income gaps between families of black and white students as well as increased K12 school integration will have small effects on the ability to eliminate race-conscious admissions policies. The biggest hope for eliminating the need for race-conscious admissions policies by 2028 would be reducing the test score gaps between black and white students.
In all of this historical effort to defend the constitutionality of race-conscious admissions policies, there seems to be little discussion about the effectiveness of the strategy. Taking the long-term view, there seems to be very little impact of these policies on creating a sustainable trend to reverse the effects of discrimination. The tragedy of the legal fight around race-conscious admissions policies is that the legal arguments on both sides continue to reinforce the idea that test scores are what defines qualification for college entrance. The opponents of race-conscious admissions policies argue that test scores should be the primary determinant of college entrance.They believe that using race to trump test scores should be unconstitutional. The proponents of race-conscious admissions policies concede that tests are the primary determinant of college qualifications, but argue, and the Supreme Court agrees for now, that race should be allowed to trump test scores as a means for overcoming past injustices.

In contrast to the central role that test scores play in the fight to eliminate past discrimination, test scores play a minor role in predicting actual student outcomes. By design, ACT and SAT scores are meant only to predict a student's first year GPA. At the very heart of the college entrance decision is estimating the level of performance of first year students in large, introductory survey courses. These are the same courses that have been shown to negatively correlate with important qualifications for high quality medical and engineering practice. The same can be said of the LSAT legal entrance exam. Any important quality of legal practice that is not predictive of first year law school grades has been eliminated from the LSAT test.

Even when we narrow our focus on what the entrance exams are designed to do, it becomes troubling to think that they play such a central role in the debate around race-conscious admissions policies. Studies that have examined how well students at selective schools performed in their first year courses based on their test scores have only been able to account for about one-third of the variability in first year GPA. That means that two-thirds of the reasons why students do well or don't do well in their first year classes is explained by other factors. The impotency of college entrance exams is amplified when attempting to predict overall college performance and eventual career outcomes.

In commemoration of the 50th anniversary of Martin Luther King's "I Have a Dream" speech, it is useful to juxtapose the history of the SAT that is at the core of thwarting King's dreams. The first SAT was administered in 1926; nineteen years before the first computer (1946); twenty-five years before the cognitive revolution which challenged the very foundation of the SAT (1950s); twenty-eight years before Brown v. Board of Education (1954); and 37 years before the March on Washington (1963). In the face of technological, social, and psychological revolution over the past 87 years, the SAT has merely tweaked its name and its scoring methodology, but fundamentally remains the same test that was developed during the heart of our discriminatory past.

It is had for me to believe that such a vestige of our troubled past will ever be the road to fulfilling King's dreams. Instead, I firmly believe that if we scrapped the entire admissions process and built a new one from scratch with modern ideas of the American dream and taking advantage of modern technology and modern cognitive science, we would have a fundamentally different system that would end the need for affirmative action and give everyone one an Equal shot at a high quality of Life, Liberty, and the Pursuit of Happiness. That is my dream.